However, the observed eyewall replacement cycle will likely cause fluctuations in strength, both up and down, while the system is near Florida. The hurricane is then expected to track near the Georgia and Carolina coasts late this week.Ī small deviation to the left of the track could bring the intense core of the hurricane and its dangerous winds closer to or onto the Florida coast.Ĭategory 5 hurricanes like Dorian usually don't hold that intensity for very long, and it is expected that Dorian will weaken slowly during the next few days.
Track models have changed little from the previous cycle, and the NHC forecast continues to show the core of Dorian very close to the Florida peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday. advisory, the NHC said, the timing of the northwest or north turn is very critical in determining how close Dorian will get to the Florida peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday. This expected slow motion could be devastating to the Great Abaco and Grand Bahama Islands since it would prolong the catastrophic winds, storm surge, and rainfall over those areas. This change in the steering pattern should cause Dorian to slow down even more and perhaps stall, before it turns to the northwest late Monday or early Tuesday. advisory said the ridge to the north of Dorian is gradually weakening and shifting eastward. The National Hurricane Center has extended a hurricane watch on Florida's east to the Florida-Georgia line. Watch Video: Hurricane expert says Dorian's path may continue to shift
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